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NATURAL HEALTH TRENDS CORP (NHTC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue declined 6% year over year to $9.8M as evolving trade tensions weighed on consumer sentiment in the company’s largest market; management is shifting production to Asia to reduce tariff exposure and logistics costs .
  • Gross profit dollars fell to $7.3M with an operating loss of $0.3M, but net income was $15K (breakeven EPS) aided by other income; Hong Kong represented 82% of sales and declined 5% YoY .
  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $34.2M at June 30, 2025 (down from $41.9M at March 31, 2025) as the company made its annual U.S. Tax Act installment; the liability is now fully settled .
  • The Board maintained its quarterly dividend at $0.20/share; with no formal revenue or margin guidance issued, the supply-chain realignment and China/Hong Kong demand trends are the key near-term stock catalysts .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Maintained profitability at the net income line ($15K) despite a $333K operating loss, supported by $348K in other income .
  • SG&A discipline: SG&A declined by $235K YoY to $3.6M in Q2; commissions expense grew modestly as a percent of sales on higher weekly commissions .
  • Capital return and balance-sheet strength: Dividend of $0.20/share declared; cash and marketable securities of $34.2M at quarter-end, with Tax Act liability fully paid, improving future cash flow visibility .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line pressure: Net sales fell 6% YoY to $9.8M, driven by macro uncertainty and tariff dynamics in the largest market (Hong Kong 82% of sales; down 5% YoY) .
  • Active Members declined to 29,260 at June 30, 2025 from 31,110 a year ago and 30,870 at December 31, 2024, signaling weaker engagement .
  • Operating cash flow for the first six months was $(5.2)M due largely to Tax Act installments (excluding tax payments, operating cash use was $97K vs $950K provided in 1H24) .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L Snapshots (Oldest → Newest)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$10.475 $10.737 $9.813
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$7.776 $7.905 $7.255
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(0.238) $(0.345) $(0.333)
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.173 $0.122 $0.015
Diluted EPS ($)$0.02 $0.01 $0.00
Commissions Expense (% of sales)40.1% 41.8% 40.9%
SG&A ($USD Millions)$3.811 $3.762 $3.576

Notes: Management cited a Q2 2025 gross margin of 73.9% (vs. relatively consistent YoY), consistent with the gross profit/sales mix .

Liquidity

MetricQ1 2025 (3/31/25)Q2 2025 (6/30/25)
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$41.9 $34.2

Drivers: Decline due to Tax Act installment payment and dividend; Tax Act liability now fully settled .

Segment / Geographic Mix (Q2 2025)

RegionMixYoY Trend
Hong Kong82% of sales Down 5% YoY
Other RegionsNot disclosedNot disclosed

KPIs

KPI6/30/2412/31/243/31/256/30/25
Active Members31,110 30,870 30,180 29,260

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue2025None providedNone provided
Gross/Operating Margins2025None providedNone provided
OpEx2025None providedNone provided
Tax Rate2025None providedNone provided
DividendQuarterly$0.20/share (declared Apr 28, 2025) $0.20/share (declared Jul 28, 2025) Maintained
Tax Act Liability2025Outstanding balanceFully settled in Q2 2025 Resolved

No formal revenue, margin, OpEx, or segment-specific quantitative guidance was provided this quarter .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Trade/tariffs & supply chainQ4: HK growth despite soft sentiment; price discipline in other markets . Q1: Began aligning manufacturing closer to Asia; logistics simplification planned .Actively transitioning U.S.-based supply chain to Asia to mitigate tariffs, streamline logistics, and access specialized R&D; key strategic priority .Intensifying focus on de-risking tariffs and improving cost efficiency.
Regional demand (Hong Kong/Greater China)Q4: HK up 7% YoY and 9% QoQ . Q1: Continued engagement and roadshows; sequential order improvement vs Q4 .HK 82% of Q2 sales; HK down 5% YoY, macro uncertainty weighing on sentiment .Softening in Q2 amid macro uncertainty.
Cost disciplineQ4: Operating loss influenced by expense timing . Q1: SG&A reduced YoY .SG&A down $235K YoY to $3.6M; commissions mix up slightly on higher weekly commissions .Continued OpEx control; incentive compensation elevated.
Member engagement & promotionsQ4: Market discipline with fewer promotions . Q1: 9-city roadshow; new products; Paris incentive trip .Incentive trips (Maldives, Paris) and training to support acquisition/retention .Ongoing multi-market engagement despite macro headwinds.
Capital returns / balance sheetQ4: $0.20 dividend; $43.9M cash+securities YE . Q1: $0.20 dividend; $41.9M cash+securities .$0.20 dividend maintained; $34.2M cash+securities; Tax Act liability fully paid .Dividends maintained; cash lower due to tax settlement.

Management Commentary

  • “Our second quarter sales reflected the heightened economic uncertainty caused by evolving trade tensions, which we expect will continue to heavily weigh on consumer sentiment in our biggest market.” — Chris Sharng, President .
  • “We are realigning our supply chain by transitioning production to trusted manufacturing partners in Asia…bringing operations closer to our core markets and enhancing long-term resilience.” — Chris Sharng .
  • “Total cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $34.2 million at June 30…our tax liability related to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is now fully settled.” — Scott Davidson, CFO .
  • “In regards to our quarterly dividend…our Board of Directors declared another cash dividend of $0.20 per share.” — Scott Davidson .

Q&A Highlights

  • The call consisted of prepared remarks; no analyst Q&A was included in the published transcript .
  • Management reiterated: (1) supply chain transition to Asia to mitigate tariff risk, (2) HK concentration (82% of sales) and softness, and (3) continued dividend and expense discipline .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2025 EPS and revenue were not available (no data returned via GetEstimates). As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Wall Street consensus this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Given a 6% YoY revenue decline and breakeven EPS, estimate revisions (where applicable) may bias slightly lower on top-line assumptions for HK, with partial offset from OpEx control and supply-chain efficiency benefits over time .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Concentration risk in Hong Kong (82% of Q2 sales) coupled with tariff uncertainty is the primary headwind; management is proactively moving manufacturing to Asia to reduce tariff exposure and logistics costs .
  • Near-term growth trajectory is pressured (revenue -6% YoY; Active Members trending down), but cost control kept SG&A lower YoY and net income slightly positive despite an operating loss .
  • Balance sheet remains solid at $34.2M cash and marketable securities; the annual Tax Act liability is fully settled, improving future cash flow clarity .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.20/share, signaling continued commitment to capital returns despite macro headwinds .
  • Absent formal guidance and with no consensus estimates available, the narrative that will move the stock is progress on supply-chain transition timing/cost savings, HK demand stabilization, and Active Member trends .
  • Watch for sequential sales stabilization in Q3/Q4 and any commentary on tariff impacts; management’s emphasis on Asia production and logistics consolidation could support margins over the medium term if volumes hold .

Appendix: Additional Quantitative Details

Year-to-Date (1H 2025) vs 1H 2024

Metric1H 20241H 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$21.426 $20.550
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(0.603) $(0.678)
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.361 $0.137
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(3.019) $(5.151)

Drivers: Operating cash flow pressure reflects Tax Act installments in 1H25; excluding tax payments, operating cash use was $0.097M in 1H25 vs $0.950M provided in 1H24 .